------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Info Simulating each deck for 4 turns, 1000000 times: Each simulation will draw 11 cards + an extra (0 - 3) cards (to represent additional draw) Condition of success is to have 4 total land drops by turn 4 The screwed threshold is 3 lands and the flooded rate is 50.0% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LANDS: 30 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Averages: Average number of lands played: 3.679 Average number of lands drawn: 4.290 Average number of mulligans required: 1.244 Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.612 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Overall: Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 74.101% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 61.257% Rate at which we flooded out: 12.844% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 25.899% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew no extra cards: 53.9% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 70.138% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 59.217% Rate at which we flooded out: 10.921% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 29.862% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew one extra card: 32.6% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 77.006% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 59.225% Rate at which we flooded out: 17.780% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 22.994% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew two extra cards: 11.833% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 82.478% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 74.392% Rate at which we flooded out: 8.085% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 17.522% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew three extra cards: 1.664% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 86.184% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 73.738% Rate at which we flooded out: 12.446% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 13.816% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LANDS: 31 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Averages: Average number of lands played: 3.717 Average number of lands drawn: 4.387 Average number of mulligans required: 1.180 Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.611 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Overall: Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 76.758% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.153% Rate at which we flooded out: 14.605% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 23.242% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew no extra cards: 54.0% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 72.969% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 60.499% Rate at which we flooded out: 12.469% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 27.031% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew one extra card: 32.5% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 79.519% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 59.528% Rate at which we flooded out: 19.991% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 20.481% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew two extra cards: 11.820% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 84.802% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 75.286% Rate at which we flooded out: 9.516% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 15.198% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew three extra cards: 1.679% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 88.682% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 73.666% Rate at which we flooded out: 15.017% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 11.318% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LANDS: 32 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Averages: Average number of lands played: 3.749 Average number of lands drawn: 4.479 Average number of mulligans required: 1.116 Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.611 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Overall: Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 79.098% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.645% Rate at which we flooded out: 16.453% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 20.902% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew no extra cards: 54.0% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 75.477% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 61.451% Rate at which we flooded out: 14.026% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 24.523% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew one extra card: 32.6% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 81.825% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 59.375% Rate at which we flooded out: 22.450% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 18.175% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew two extra cards: 11.731% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 86.619% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 75.653% Rate at which we flooded out: 10.965% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 13.381% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew three extra cards: 1.671% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 90.142% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 73.694% Rate at which we flooded out: 16.448% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 9.858% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LANDS: 33 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Averages: Average number of lands played: 3.780 Average number of lands drawn: 4.574 Average number of mulligans required: 1.056 Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.612 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Overall: Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 81.347% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.896% Rate at which we flooded out: 18.451% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 18.654% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew no extra cards: 54.0% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 77.866% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.078% Rate at which we flooded out: 15.787% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 22.134% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew one extra card: 32.4% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 83.999% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 59.033% Rate at which we flooded out: 24.965% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 16.001% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew two extra cards: 11.842% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 88.505% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 75.871% Rate at which we flooded out: 12.635% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 11.495% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew three extra cards: 1.679% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 91.661% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 72.290% Rate at which we flooded out: 19.371% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 8.339% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LANDS: 34 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Averages: Average number of lands played: 3.805 Average number of lands drawn: 4.658 Average number of mulligans required: 1.001 Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.612 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Overall: Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 83.273% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.947% Rate at which we flooded out: 20.327% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 16.727% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew no extra cards: 54.0% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 80.002% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.500% Rate at which we flooded out: 17.502% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 19.998% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew one extra card: 32.5% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 85.783% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 58.616% Rate at which we flooded out: 27.166% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 14.217% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew two extra cards: 11.871% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 89.891% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 75.591% Rate at which we flooded out: 14.299% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 10.109% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew three extra cards: 1.669% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 93.243% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 71.689% Rate at which we flooded out: 21.554% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 6.757% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LANDS: 35 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Averages: Average number of lands played: 3.829 Average number of lands drawn: 4.746 Average number of mulligans required: 0.950 Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.612 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Overall: Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 85.084% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.636% Rate at which we flooded out: 22.448% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 14.916% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew no extra cards: 53.9% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 81.998% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.676% Rate at which we flooded out: 19.321% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 18.002% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew one extra card: 32.6% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 87.446% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 57.610% Rate at which we flooded out: 29.836% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 12.554% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew two extra cards: 11.798% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 91.369% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 75.260% Rate at which we flooded out: 16.109% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 8.631% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew three extra cards: 1.674% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 94.222% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 70.244% Rate at which we flooded out: 23.978% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 5.778% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LANDS: 36 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Averages: Average number of lands played: 3.850 Average number of lands drawn: 4.832 Average number of mulligans required: 0.901 Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.613 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Overall: Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 86.796% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.122% Rate at which we flooded out: 24.674% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 13.204% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew no extra cards: 53.9% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 83.914% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.559% Rate at which we flooded out: 21.355% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 16.086% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew one extra card: 32.6% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 89.056% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 56.600% Rate at which we flooded out: 32.456% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 10.944% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew two extra cards: 11.843% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 92.500% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 74.416% Rate at which we flooded out: 18.084% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 7.500% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew three extra cards: 1.671% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 95.380% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 68.494% Rate at which we flooded out: 26.886% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 4.620% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LANDS: 37 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Averages: Average number of lands played: 3.868 Average number of lands drawn: 4.915 Average number of mulligans required: 0.856 Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.613 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Overall: Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 88.223% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 61.378% Rate at which we flooded out: 26.845% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 11.777% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew no extra cards: 53.9% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 85.506% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.196% Rate at which we flooded out: 23.310% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 14.494% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew one extra card: 32.6% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 90.353% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 55.323% Rate at which we flooded out: 35.030% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 9.647% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew two extra cards: 11.824% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 93.656% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 73.668% Rate at which we flooded out: 19.988% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 6.344% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew three extra cards: 1.693% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 95.795% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 66.027% Rate at which we flooded out: 29.769% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 4.205% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LANDS: 38 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Averages: Average number of lands played: 3.885 Average number of lands drawn: 4.997 Average number of mulligans required: 0.816 Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.612 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Overall: Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 89.619% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 60.501% Rate at which we flooded out: 29.118% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 10.381% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew no extra cards: 54.0% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 87.136% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 61.705% Rate at which we flooded out: 25.430% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 12.864% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew one extra card: 32.4% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 91.594% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 53.993% Rate at which we flooded out: 37.601% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 8.406% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew two extra cards: 11.817% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 94.599% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 72.274% Rate at which we flooded out: 22.325% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 5.401% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew three extra cards: 1.698% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 96.243% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 64.559% Rate at which we flooded out: 31.685% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 3.757% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LANDS: 39 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Averages: Average number of lands played: 3.898 Average number of lands drawn: 5.075 Average number of mulligans required: 0.778 Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.612 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Overall: Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 90.748% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 59.315% Rate at which we flooded out: 31.433% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 9.252% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew no extra cards: 53.9% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 88.442% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 60.892% Rate at which we flooded out: 27.550% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 11.558% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew one extra card: 32.6% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 92.613% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 52.400% Rate at which we flooded out: 40.213% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 7.387% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew two extra cards: 11.793% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 95.294% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 70.915% Rate at which we flooded out: 24.379% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 4.706% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew three extra cards: 1.673% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 96.646% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 61.579% Rate at which we flooded out: 35.067% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 3.354% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LANDS: 40 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Averages: Average number of lands played: 3.910 Average number of lands drawn: 5.153 Average number of mulligans required: 0.742 Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.612 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Overall: Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 91.794% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 58.030% Rate at which we flooded out: 33.764% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 8.206% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew no extra cards: 54.0% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 89.617% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 59.968% Rate at which we flooded out: 29.649% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 10.383% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew one extra card: 32.5% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 93.564% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 50.615% Rate at which we flooded out: 42.949% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 6.436% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew two extra cards: 11.819% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 96.025% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 69.302% Rate at which we flooded out: 26.723% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 3.975% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew three extra cards: 1.674% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 97.712% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 60.122% Rate at which we flooded out: 37.590% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 2.288% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LANDS: 41 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Averages: Average number of lands played: 3.921 Average number of lands drawn: 5.229 Average number of mulligans required: 0.712 Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.612 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Overall: Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 92.697% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 56.549% Rate at which we flooded out: 36.148% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 7.303% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew no extra cards: 53.9% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 90.672% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 58.782% Rate at which we flooded out: 31.891% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 9.328% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew one extra card: 32.6% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 94.368% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 48.824% Rate at which we flooded out: 45.544% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 5.632% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew two extra cards: 11.801% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 96.631% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 67.588% Rate at which we flooded out: 29.043% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 3.369% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew three extra cards: 1.667% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 97.708% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 57.172% Rate at which we flooded out: 40.536% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 2.292% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LANDS: 42 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Averages: Average number of lands played: 3.931 Average number of lands drawn: 5.306 Average number of mulligans required: 0.685 Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.612 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Overall: Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 93.592% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 55.127% Rate at which we flooded out: 38.465% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 6.408% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew no extra cards: 54.0% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 91.816% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 57.733% Rate at which we flooded out: 34.083% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 8.184% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew one extra card: 32.5% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 95.032% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 47.034% Rate at which we flooded out: 47.998% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 4.968% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew two extra cards: 11.831% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 97.065% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 65.464% Rate at which we flooded out: 31.601% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 2.935% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- When we drew three extra cards: 1.683% Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 98.384% Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 54.986% Rate at which we flooded out: 43.398% Rate at which we got mana screwed: 1.616% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------