-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Info
Simulating each deck for 4 turns, 1000000 times:
Each simulation will draw 11 cards + an extra (0 - 3) cards (to represent additional draw)
Condition of success is to have 4 total land drops by turn 4
The screwed threshold is 3 lands and the flooded rate is 50.0%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LANDS: 30
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Averages:
Average number of lands played: 3.679
Average number of lands drawn: 4.290
Average number of mulligans required: 1.244
Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.612
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Overall:
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 74.101%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 61.257%
Rate at which we flooded out: 12.844%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 25.899%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew no extra cards: 53.9%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 70.138%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 59.217%
Rate at which we flooded out: 10.921%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 29.862%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew one extra card: 32.6%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 77.006%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 59.225%
Rate at which we flooded out: 17.780%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 22.994%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew two extra cards: 11.833%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 82.478%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 74.392%
Rate at which we flooded out: 8.085%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 17.522%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew three extra cards: 1.664%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 86.184%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 73.738%
Rate at which we flooded out: 12.446%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 13.816%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LANDS: 31
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Averages:
Average number of lands played: 3.717
Average number of lands drawn: 4.387
Average number of mulligans required: 1.180
Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.611
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Overall:
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 76.758%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.153%
Rate at which we flooded out: 14.605%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 23.242%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew no extra cards: 54.0%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 72.969%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 60.499%
Rate at which we flooded out: 12.469%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 27.031%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew one extra card: 32.5%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 79.519%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 59.528%
Rate at which we flooded out: 19.991%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 20.481%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew two extra cards: 11.820%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 84.802%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 75.286%
Rate at which we flooded out: 9.516%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 15.198%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew three extra cards: 1.679%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 88.682%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 73.666%
Rate at which we flooded out: 15.017%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 11.318%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LANDS: 32
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Averages:
Average number of lands played: 3.749
Average number of lands drawn: 4.479
Average number of mulligans required: 1.116
Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.611
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Overall:
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 79.098%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.645%
Rate at which we flooded out: 16.453%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 20.902%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew no extra cards: 54.0%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 75.477%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 61.451%
Rate at which we flooded out: 14.026%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 24.523%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew one extra card: 32.6%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 81.825%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 59.375%
Rate at which we flooded out: 22.450%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 18.175%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew two extra cards: 11.731%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 86.619%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 75.653%
Rate at which we flooded out: 10.965%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 13.381%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew three extra cards: 1.671%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 90.142%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 73.694%
Rate at which we flooded out: 16.448%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 9.858%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LANDS: 33
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Averages:
Average number of lands played: 3.780
Average number of lands drawn: 4.574
Average number of mulligans required: 1.056
Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.612
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Overall:
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 81.347%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.896%
Rate at which we flooded out: 18.451%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 18.654%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew no extra cards: 54.0%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 77.866%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.078%
Rate at which we flooded out: 15.787%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 22.134%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew one extra card: 32.4%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 83.999%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 59.033%
Rate at which we flooded out: 24.965%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 16.001%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew two extra cards: 11.842%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 88.505%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 75.871%
Rate at which we flooded out: 12.635%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 11.495%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew three extra cards: 1.679%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 91.661%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 72.290%
Rate at which we flooded out: 19.371%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 8.339%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LANDS: 34
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Averages:
Average number of lands played: 3.805
Average number of lands drawn: 4.658
Average number of mulligans required: 1.001
Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.612
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Overall:
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 83.273%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.947%
Rate at which we flooded out: 20.327%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 16.727%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew no extra cards: 54.0%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 80.002%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.500%
Rate at which we flooded out: 17.502%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 19.998%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew one extra card: 32.5%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 85.783%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 58.616%
Rate at which we flooded out: 27.166%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 14.217%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew two extra cards: 11.871%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 89.891%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 75.591%
Rate at which we flooded out: 14.299%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 10.109%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew three extra cards: 1.669%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 93.243%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 71.689%
Rate at which we flooded out: 21.554%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 6.757%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LANDS: 35
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Averages:
Average number of lands played: 3.829
Average number of lands drawn: 4.746
Average number of mulligans required: 0.950
Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.612
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Overall:
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 85.084%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.636%
Rate at which we flooded out: 22.448%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 14.916%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew no extra cards: 53.9%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 81.998%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.676%
Rate at which we flooded out: 19.321%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 18.002%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew one extra card: 32.6%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 87.446%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 57.610%
Rate at which we flooded out: 29.836%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 12.554%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew two extra cards: 11.798%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 91.369%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 75.260%
Rate at which we flooded out: 16.109%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 8.631%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew three extra cards: 1.674%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 94.222%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 70.244%
Rate at which we flooded out: 23.978%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 5.778%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LANDS: 36
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Averages:
Average number of lands played: 3.850
Average number of lands drawn: 4.832
Average number of mulligans required: 0.901
Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.613
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Overall:
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 86.796%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.122%
Rate at which we flooded out: 24.674%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 13.204%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew no extra cards: 53.9%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 83.914%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.559%
Rate at which we flooded out: 21.355%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 16.086%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew one extra card: 32.6%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 89.056%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 56.600%
Rate at which we flooded out: 32.456%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 10.944%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew two extra cards: 11.843%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 92.500%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 74.416%
Rate at which we flooded out: 18.084%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 7.500%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew three extra cards: 1.671%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 95.380%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 68.494%
Rate at which we flooded out: 26.886%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 4.620%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LANDS: 37
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Averages:
Average number of lands played: 3.868
Average number of lands drawn: 4.915
Average number of mulligans required: 0.856
Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.613
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Overall:
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 88.223%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 61.378%
Rate at which we flooded out: 26.845%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 11.777%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew no extra cards: 53.9%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 85.506%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 62.196%
Rate at which we flooded out: 23.310%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 14.494%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew one extra card: 32.6%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 90.353%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 55.323%
Rate at which we flooded out: 35.030%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 9.647%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew two extra cards: 11.824%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 93.656%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 73.668%
Rate at which we flooded out: 19.988%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 6.344%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew three extra cards: 1.693%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 95.795%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 66.027%
Rate at which we flooded out: 29.769%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 4.205%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LANDS: 38
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Averages:
Average number of lands played: 3.885
Average number of lands drawn: 4.997
Average number of mulligans required: 0.816
Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.612
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Overall:
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 89.619%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 60.501%
Rate at which we flooded out: 29.118%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 10.381%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew no extra cards: 54.0%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 87.136%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 61.705%
Rate at which we flooded out: 25.430%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 12.864%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew one extra card: 32.4%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 91.594%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 53.993%
Rate at which we flooded out: 37.601%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 8.406%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew two extra cards: 11.817%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 94.599%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 72.274%
Rate at which we flooded out: 22.325%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 5.401%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew three extra cards: 1.698%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 96.243%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 64.559%
Rate at which we flooded out: 31.685%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 3.757%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LANDS: 39
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Averages:
Average number of lands played: 3.898
Average number of lands drawn: 5.075
Average number of mulligans required: 0.778
Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.612
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Overall:
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 90.748%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 59.315%
Rate at which we flooded out: 31.433%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 9.252%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew no extra cards: 53.9%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 88.442%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 60.892%
Rate at which we flooded out: 27.550%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 11.558%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew one extra card: 32.6%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 92.613%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 52.400%
Rate at which we flooded out: 40.213%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 7.387%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew two extra cards: 11.793%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 95.294%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 70.915%
Rate at which we flooded out: 24.379%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 4.706%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew three extra cards: 1.673%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 96.646%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 61.579%
Rate at which we flooded out: 35.067%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 3.354%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LANDS: 40
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Averages:
Average number of lands played: 3.910
Average number of lands drawn: 5.153
Average number of mulligans required: 0.742
Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.612
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Overall:
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 91.794%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 58.030%
Rate at which we flooded out: 33.764%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 8.206%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew no extra cards: 54.0%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 89.617%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 59.968%
Rate at which we flooded out: 29.649%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 10.383%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew one extra card: 32.5%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 93.564%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 50.615%
Rate at which we flooded out: 42.949%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 6.436%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew two extra cards: 11.819%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 96.025%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 69.302%
Rate at which we flooded out: 26.723%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 3.975%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew three extra cards: 1.674%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 97.712%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 60.122%
Rate at which we flooded out: 37.590%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 2.288%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LANDS: 41
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Averages:
Average number of lands played: 3.921
Average number of lands drawn: 5.229
Average number of mulligans required: 0.712
Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.612
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Overall:
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 92.697%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 56.549%
Rate at which we flooded out: 36.148%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 7.303%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew no extra cards: 53.9%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 90.672%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 58.782%
Rate at which we flooded out: 31.891%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 9.328%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew one extra card: 32.6%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 94.368%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 48.824%
Rate at which we flooded out: 45.544%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 5.632%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew two extra cards: 11.801%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 96.631%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 67.588%
Rate at which we flooded out: 29.043%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 3.369%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew three extra cards: 1.667%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 97.708%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 57.172%
Rate at which we flooded out: 40.536%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 2.292%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LANDS: 42
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Averages:
Average number of lands played: 3.931
Average number of lands drawn: 5.306
Average number of mulligans required: 0.685
Average number of extra cards drawn: 0.612
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Overall:
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 93.592%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 55.127%
Rate at which we flooded out: 38.465%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 6.408%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew no extra cards: 54.0%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 91.816%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 57.733%
Rate at which we flooded out: 34.083%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 8.184%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew one extra card: 32.5%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 95.032%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 47.034%
Rate at which we flooded out: 47.998%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 4.968%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew two extra cards: 11.831%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 97.065%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 65.464%
Rate at which we flooded out: 31.601%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 2.935%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When we drew three extra cards: 1.683%
Rate at which we hit our desired number of land drops: 98.384%
Rate at which we, without flooding, hit our desired number of land drops: 54.986%
Rate at which we flooded out: 43.398%
Rate at which we got mana screwed: 1.616%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------